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Stenhousemuir vs Clachnacuddin

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Ochilview Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stenhousemuir play Clachnacuddin in the Scottish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stenhousemuir averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Clachnacuddin averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Stenhousemuir won 2, Clachnacuddin won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.90 for Stenhousemuir and 1.03 for Clachnacuddin. This points to a Stenhousemuir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Stenhousemuir
20%
Draws
32%
Clachnacuddin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir picked up more points recently compared to Clachnacuddin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.90 vs 1.03 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 23%
Clachnacuddin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Clachnacuddin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Clachnacuddin
4:1
Nov 29, 2008 Scottish Cup
Clachnacuddin vs Stenhousemuir
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Gray F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Clachnacuddin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 48 / 100
Clachnacuddin 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Clachnacuddin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stenhousemuir or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stenhousemuir attacking → ← attacking Clachnacuddin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Clachnacuddin let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Stenhousemuir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Clachnacuddin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 49
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.29