Sport Picks

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

Sun, Feb 8, 2026

0 - 2

07:30 PM

Falkirk

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Buchanan G.

46'

Sub

McGill S. In: Grant L.

Out: McGill S.

66'

Bilham K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Falkirk in this Scottish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Stenhousemuir

20%

Draws

24%

Falkirk

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Falkirk haven't matched Stenhousemuir's recent run of results.
Model gives Stenhousemuir a 56% chance of winning this.
Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%

Falkirk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stenhousemuir	Falkirk
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	21	11
Draws	5	4
Losses	4	14
Goals Scored	1.43	1.48
Goals Conceded	0.7	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Scottish Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk

0:2

Sep 7, 2024 Challenge Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk

2:1

Jul 27, 2024 League Cup

Falkirk vs Stenhousemuir

4:0

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk

0:0

Nov 24, 2018 Scottish Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Spencer B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stewart B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 40 / 100

Falkirk 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stenhousemuir Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Falkirk conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Stenhousemuir remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Falkirk

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)

25 Sept

Ayr

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

19 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Arbroath

15 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Partick

11 Sept

Stenhousemuir

0 : 3

Hearts

04 Sept

Livingston

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)

19 Sept

St Johnstone

1 : 1

Falkirk

15 Sept

Falkirk

2 : 1

Hearts

05 Sept

Dundee Utd

1 : 1

Falkirk

02 Sept

Falkirk

1 : 2

Rangers

29 Aug

Celtic

2 : 1

Falkirk

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Annan -

Lossiemouth 1

Formartine Utd 2

Huntly 1

Buckie Thistle 3

Stranraer -

TBD -

Glenafton 3

Invergordon 2

Jeanfield Swifts 0

Clydebank FC 4

Newtongrange Star 1

East Stirlingshire 3

Boness Athletic 2

Keith 1

Linlithgow Rose 2

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Coldstream 2

Tayport FC 3

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Cumnock Juniors 1

Carluke Rovers FC 0

Gretna 2008 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Albion Rovers 1

Johnstone Burgh 4

Threave Rovers 0

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling University 6

Burntisland Shipyard 2

Elgin City -

TBD -

Darvel FC 1

Deveronvale 3

Forres Mechanics 0

Caledonian Braves 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Musselburgh 2

Bonnyton Thistle 0

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 5

Rothes 0

Cowdenbeath 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Lochee United 1

Brechin 3

Civil Service Strollers 2

Dundonald Bluebell 3

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Boness United 0

Banks O' Dee 3

Brora Rangers 0

Fraserburgh 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Inverurie Loco Works 0

Sauchie 2

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Berwick 0

Nairn County 2

Turriff United 2

Hill Of Beath 1

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 4

Glasgow University 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Spartans -

TBD -

East Kilbride -

Tranent FC 3

Pollok 0

Strathspey Thistle 1

Dundee North End 2

TBD -

Inverness -

1/64-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde 2

Annan 3

Formartine Utd 0

Buckie Thistle 2

Stranraer 4

Glenafton 0

Clydebank FC 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Boness Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 2

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton 2

Tayport FC 0

Auchinleck Talbot 3

Gretna 2008 1

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 1

Johnstone Burgh 0

Edinburgh City 1

Stirling University 0

Elgin City 2

Deveronvale 1

Caledonian Braves 3

Stirling 4

Musselburgh 1

Forfar Athletic 2

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Brechin 3

Dundonald Bluebell 1

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 4

Fraserburgh 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Sauchie 0

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Nairn County 1

Turriff United 2

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Spartans 2

East Kilbride 1

Tranent FC 3

Dundee North End 0

TBD -

Inverness -

1/32-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Annan 4

Buckie Thistle 0

Stranraer 2

Clydebank FC 1

Linlithgow Rose 1

Queen's Park 3

Dumbarton 0

Auchinleck Talbot 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians 4

Hamilton 0

East Fife 0

Arbroath 2

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Edinburgh City 1

Elgin City 4

Stirling 2

Forfar Athletic 0

Partick 2

Benburb 0

Montrose 3

Dunfermline 2

Queen of the South 1

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts 2

Brechin 0

St Johnstone 1

Cove Rangers 2

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith 1

Alloa 0

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 0

Ross County 2

Stenhousemuir 4

Clachnacuddin 1

Peterhead 2

Morton 3

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr 3

Turriff United 0

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

Spartans 2

Tranent FC 1

Inverness 2

1/16-finals

Rangers 5

Annan 0

Stranraer 2

Queen's Park 1

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Celtic 2

Kilmarnock 1

Dundee FC 2

Airdrieonians 4

Arbroath 3

Livingston 1

St. Mirren 2

Camelon Juniors 1

Elgin City 3

Partick 3

Montrose 1

Dunfermline 1

Hibernian 0

Kelty Hearts 2

Cove Rangers 1

Aberdeen 1

Raith 0

Motherwell 1

Ross County 0

Stenhousemuir 4

Morton 0

Hearts 1

Falkirk 2

Ayr 0

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Inverness 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 8

Queen's Park 0

Celtic 2

Dundee FC 1

Airdrieonians 1

St. Mirren 2

Elgin City 2

Partick 3

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 0

Aberdeen 2

Motherwell 0

Stenhousemuir 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

St. Mirren 2

Partick 1

Dunfermline 3

Aberdeen 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 1

Semi-finals

Celtic 6

St. Mirren 2

Dunfermline 1

Falkirk 0

Final

Celtic 3

Dunfermline 1

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland

Stenhousemuir

Falkirk

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Stenhousemuir Compare

Falkirk Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

Falkirk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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