Sport Picks

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Stenhousemuir vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir Logo

Stenhousemuir

0 - 3
FT
Hearts Logo

Hearts

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Grant L.
35' Event
Williams J.
Assist: Magnusson T.
39' Event
Mato R.
Assist: Guendouz S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Stenhousemuir
15%
Draws
39%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hearts have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 14%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Hearts
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Hearts
0:3
Jul 24, 2019 League Cup
Hearts vs Stenhousemuir
2:1
Aug 26, 2014 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Hearts
1:2
Jan 28, 2000 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Stenhousemuir
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mato R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 27 / 100
Hearts 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Hearts has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Stenhousemuir remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Hearts
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stenhousemuir 1
Motherwell 0
Hearts 6
Inverness 2
Dunfermline 1
Ross County 2
Hibernian 1
Partick 0
Rangers 5
St. Mirren 1
Dundee Utd 0
Celtic 4
Kilmarnock 3
Ayr 2
Aberdeen 3
Dundee FC 0
Quarter-finals
Stenhousemuir 0
Hearts 3
Ross County 0
Hibernian 3
Rangers 3
Celtic 0
Kilmarnock 1
Aberdeen 2
Semi-finals
Hearts -
Hibernian -
Rangers -
Aberdeen -
Final
TBD -
TBD -