Sport Picks
Stenhousemuir vs Kilmarnock B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir 
Match Events
20'
20'
Buchanan G.
Assist: Taylor R.
38'
38'
O'Reilly E.
Assist: Meechan R.
48'
48'
Aitken M.
Assist: Simpson O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Stenhousemuir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Stenhousemuir a 64% chance of winning this.
- Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stenhousemuir | Kilmarnock B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 17 |
| Wins | 22 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 2.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.05 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Kilmarnock B
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stenhousemuir Compare
Top Goalscorer Buchanan G.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Reilly E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.02
Kilmarnock B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stenhousemuir 85 / 100
Kilmarnock B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stenhousemuir Kilmarnock B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stenhousemuir found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
Kilmarnock B let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Stenhousemuir stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stenhousemuir VS Kilmarnock B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.6
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.6
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Stenhousemuir
(Home) 25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1 Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3 Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1 Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3 Hearts
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
16 Aug
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Motherwell
Page 1 of 4
Kilmarnock B
(Away) 26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2 Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1 Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3 Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2 Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1 Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3 Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
