Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

4 - 0

Morton

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Blues C.

34'

Bilham K.

38'

Sub

Grant L. In: Anderson M.

Out: Grant L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stenhousemuir in this Scottish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%

Stenhousemuir

15%

Draws

Morton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Stenhousemuir lately — more wins on the board than Morton.
Model gives Stenhousemuir a 78% chance of winning this.
Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 68%

Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stenhousemuir	Morton
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	19	4
Draws	7	6
Losses	3	18
Goals Scored	1.62	0.79
Goals Conceded	0.76	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Championship

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

2:0

Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

4:0

Jul 15, 2025 League Cup

Morton vs Stenhousemuir

3:0

Jun 28, 2022 Club Friendly

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

0:1

Jul 21, 2018 League Cup

Morton vs Stenhousemuir

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aitken M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Meechan R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.97

Morton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51

Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 95 / 100

Morton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stenhousemuir Morton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Morton let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Stenhousemuir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Morton

1.88 Goals Scored 0.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)

11 Sept

Stenhousemuir

0 : 3

Hearts

04 Sept

Livingston

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

29 Aug

Stenhousemuir

3 : 1

Inverness

22 Aug

Queen's Park

0 : 2

Stenhousemuir

16 Aug

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Motherwell

Page 1 of 6

Morton

(Away)

11 Sept

Morton

1 : 4

Livingston

05 Sept

Queen's Park

2 : 1

Morton

29 Aug

Ayr

1 : 1

Morton

22 Aug

Morton

1 : 2

Arbroath

08 Aug

Stenhousemuir

2 : 0

Morton

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Annan -

Lossiemouth 1

Formartine Utd 2

Huntly 1

Buckie Thistle 3

Stranraer -

TBD -

Glenafton 3

Invergordon 2

Jeanfield Swifts 0

Clydebank FC 4

Newtongrange Star 1

East Stirlingshire 3

Boness Athletic 2

Keith 1

Linlithgow Rose 2

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Coldstream 2

Tayport FC 3

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Cumnock Juniors 1

Carluke Rovers FC 0

Gretna 2008 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Albion Rovers 1

Johnstone Burgh 4

Threave Rovers 0

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling University 6

Burntisland Shipyard 2

Elgin City -

TBD -

Darvel FC 1

Deveronvale 3

Forres Mechanics 0

Caledonian Braves 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Musselburgh 2

Bonnyton Thistle 0

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 5

Rothes 0

Cowdenbeath 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Lochee United 1

Brechin 3

Civil Service Strollers 2

Dundonald Bluebell 3

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Boness United 0

Banks O' Dee 3

Brora Rangers 0

Fraserburgh 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Inverurie Loco Works 0

Sauchie 2

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Berwick 0

Nairn County 2

Turriff United 2

Hill Of Beath 1

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 4

Glasgow University 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Spartans -

TBD -

East Kilbride -

Tranent FC 3

Pollok 0

Strathspey Thistle 1

Dundee North End 2

TBD -

Inverness -

1/64-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde 2

Annan 3

Formartine Utd 0

Buckie Thistle 2

Stranraer 4

Glenafton 0

Clydebank FC 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Boness Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 2

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton 2

Tayport FC 0

Auchinleck Talbot 3

Gretna 2008 1

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 1

Johnstone Burgh 0

Edinburgh City 1

Stirling University 0

Elgin City 2

Deveronvale 1

Caledonian Braves 3

Stirling 4

Musselburgh 1

Forfar Athletic 2

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Brechin 3

Dundonald Bluebell 1

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 4

Fraserburgh 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Sauchie 0

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Nairn County 1

Turriff United 2

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Spartans 2

East Kilbride 1

Tranent FC 3

Dundee North End 0

TBD -

Inverness -

1/32-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Annan 4

Buckie Thistle 0

Stranraer 2

Clydebank FC 1

Linlithgow Rose 1

Queen's Park 3

Dumbarton 0

Auchinleck Talbot 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians 4

Hamilton 0

East Fife 0

Arbroath 2

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Edinburgh City 1

Elgin City 4

Stirling 2

Forfar Athletic 0

Partick 2

Benburb 0

Montrose 3

Dunfermline 2

Queen of the South 1

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts 2

Brechin 0

St Johnstone 1

Cove Rangers 2

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith 1

Alloa 0

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 0

Ross County 2

Stenhousemuir 4

Clachnacuddin 1

Peterhead 2

Morton 3

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr 3

Turriff United 0

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

Spartans 2

Tranent FC 1

Inverness 2

1/16-finals

Rangers 5

Annan 0

Stranraer 2

Queen's Park 1

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Celtic 2

Kilmarnock 1

Dundee FC 2

Airdrieonians 4

Arbroath 3

Livingston 1

St. Mirren 2

Camelon Juniors 1

Elgin City 3

Partick 3

Montrose 1

Dunfermline 1

Hibernian 0

Kelty Hearts 2

Cove Rangers 1

Aberdeen 1

Raith 0

Motherwell 1

Ross County 0

Stenhousemuir 4

Morton 0

Hearts 1

Falkirk 2

Ayr 0

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Inverness 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 8

Queen's Park 0

Celtic 2

Dundee FC 1

Airdrieonians 1

St. Mirren 2

Elgin City 2

Partick 3

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 0

Aberdeen 2

Motherwell 0

Stenhousemuir 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

St. Mirren 2

Partick 1

Dunfermline 3

Aberdeen 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 1

Semi-finals

Celtic 6

St. Mirren 2

Dunfermline 1

Falkirk 0

Final

Celtic 3

Dunfermline 1

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Scotland

Stenhousemuir

Morton

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Stenhousemuir Compare

Morton Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

Morton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA