Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stenhousemuir vs Partick

Scotland Scotland

Championship Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Meechan R.
54'
Young S.
56'
O'Reilly D.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Stenhousemuir and Partick finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenhousemuir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stenhousemuir
30%
Draws
23%
Partick
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Partick on wins alone.
  • Stenhousemuir are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%
Partick Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Partick
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Championship
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:0
Jul 21, 2026 League Cup
Partick vs Stenhousemuir
2:3
Jul 9, 2022 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:2
Jul 17, 2021 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:2
Nov 16, 2019 Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Kargbo H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Partick Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 40 / 100
Partick 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Partick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Stenhousemuir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Partick let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Partick
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

Partick

(Away)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 8 4 2 2 11:5 14
3 Livingston 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Arbroath 8 3 2 3 6:10 11
7 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
8 Ayr 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)