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Stenungsunds IF vs Karlstad II

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stenungsunds IF play Karlstad II in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stenungsunds IF averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Karlstad II averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Stenungsunds IF won 2, Karlstad II won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Stenungsunds IF and 1.31 for Karlstad II. This points to a Karlstad II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stenungsunds IF
23%
Draws
40%
Karlstad II
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Karlstad II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenungsunds IF picked up more points recently compared to Karlstad II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 18%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Karlstad II
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Karlstad II
2:0
Nov 13, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Karlstad II
2:3
Sep 5, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Stenungsunds IF
3:2
Oct 17, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Stenungsunds IF
0:4
Jun 13, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Karlstad II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Karlstad II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 37 / 100
Karlstad II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Karlstad II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karlstad II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stenungsunds IF attacking → ← attacking Karlstad II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenungsunds IF scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Karlstad II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Stenungsunds IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Karlstad II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 31
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408