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Stenungsunds IF vs Lidkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stenungsunds IF play Lidkoping in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stenungsunds IF averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Lidkoping averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Stenungsunds IF won 2, Lidkoping won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Stenungsunds IF and 1.25 for Lidkoping. This points to a Lidkoping double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stenungsunds IF
30%
Draws
39%
Lidkoping
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lidkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenungsunds IF picked up more points recently compared to Lidkoping.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 19%
Lidkoping Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Lidkoping
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Lidkoping
6:0
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Stenungsunds IF
3:1
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Lidkoping
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Stenungsunds IF
2:2
May 26, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Lidkoping
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hellstrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lidkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 32 / 100
Lidkoping 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Lidkoping

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lidkoping or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stenungsunds IF attacking → ← attacking Lidkoping

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenungsunds IF scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Lidkoping let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Stenungsunds IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lidkoping lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 40
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408