Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stenungsunds IF vs Motala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Prytz Rafstedt H.
56' Event
Abdimalik I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Stenungsunds IF
35%
Draws
24%
Motala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Stenungsunds IF average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Motala's 1.38.
  • Model gives Stenungsunds IF a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 17%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Motala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Stenungsunds IF
2:2
May 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Motala
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Motala
2:2
May 18, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Stenungsunds IF
3:3
Oct 10, 1998 Superettan - South
Motala vs Stenungsunds IF
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Prytz Rafstedt H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdimalik I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 48 / 100
Motala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Motala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Motala conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Stenungsunds IF found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Stenungsunds IF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Motala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
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Motala

(Away)
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
23 Aug
Motala
2 : 2
Karlstad II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 22 2 3 17 23:63 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)