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Stenungsunds IF vs Tord

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
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Match Events

23' Event
Lyck I.
31' Event
Musa D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Stenungsunds IF and Tord finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stenungsunds IF
20%
Draws
44%
Tord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenungsunds IF come out ahead of Tord on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Stenungsunds IF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 17%
Tord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Tord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Tord
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyck I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 39 / 100
Tord 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Tord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tord let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stenungsunds IF scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Stenungsunds IF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Tord
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

Tord

(Away)
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
22 Aug
Skara
2 : 1
Tord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 22 2 3 17 23:63 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)