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Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sternberk in this 4. liga - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sternberk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sternberk
15%
Draws
21%
Bzenec-Vracov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sternberk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bzenec-Vracov lately — more wins on the board than Sternberk.
  • Model gives Sternberk a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bzenec-Vracov have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sternberk Clean Sheet 20%
Bzenec-Vracov Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sternberk Bzenec-Vracov
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 4. liga - Group E
Bzenec-Vracov vs Sternberk
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov
2:5
Apr 18, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Bzenec-Vracov vs Sternberk
4:0
Nov 16, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sternberk 85 / 100
Bzenec-Vracov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sternberk Bzenec-Vracov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sternberk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bzenec-Vracov conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sternberk found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Sternberk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sternberk VS Bzenec-Vracov
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sternberk

(Home)
04 Oct
Strani
1 : 3
Sternberk
26 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 0
Bzenec-Vracov
20 Sept
Vsechovice
6 : 1
Sternberk
12 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 3
Slavicin
05 Sept
Nove Sady
0 : 6
Sternberk
Page 1 of 6

Bzenec-Vracov

(Away)
03 Oct
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 0
Kromeriz B
26 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 0
Bzenec-Vracov
19 Sept
Bzenec-Vracov
3 : 6
Strani
12 Sept
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 3
SK Krumvir
05 Sept
Vsechovice
4 : 0
Bzenec-Vracov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vsechovice 9 8 0 1 31:9 24
2 Strani 9 7 1 1 35:14 22
3 FK Kozlovice 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 SK Krumvir 9 6 1 2 15:12 19
5 Lanzhot 9 6 0 3 15:11 18
6 Breclav 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
7 Hluk 9 3 5 1 20:11 14
8 Sternberk 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
9 Slavicin 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
10 Prostejov B 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
11 Holesov 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
12 Brumov 9 2 1 6 14:28 7
13 Bzenec-Vracov 9 2 0 7 13:28 6
14 Kromeriz B 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
15 Nove Sady 9 1 1 7 12:36 4
16 Batov 9 0 0 9 9:28 0
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)