Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stevenage vs Colchester

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
17' Event
Reid J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Stevenage in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Stevenage
35%
Draws
45%
Colchester
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Stevenage have won more games recently than Colchester.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 13%
Colchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Colchester
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Stevenage vs Colchester
1:0
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Stevenage vs Colchester
1:1
Apr 7, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Colchester
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 League Two
Colchester vs Stevenage
1:1
Apr 9, 2022 League Two
Colchester vs Stevenage
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 31 / 100
Colchester 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Colchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Colchester has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stevenage stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Colchester
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2
Doncaster
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3
Reading
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1
Stevenage
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Colchester

(Away)
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0
Colchester
29 Aug
Colchester
1 : 0
Rochdale
22 Aug
Colchester
2 : 1
Oldham
15 Aug
Accrington
2 : 2
Colchester
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2
Southampton
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