Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stevenage vs Doncaster

England England

League One Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stevenage host Doncaster in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Stevenage have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Doncaster's 1.33 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Stevenage slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.38) back Stevenage to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Stevenage
20%
Draws
23%
Doncaster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Doncaster at 1.33 per game, Stevenage at 0.9.
  • Model gives Stevenage a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 17%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Doncaster
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Stevenage
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Doncaster
0:0
Apr 18, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Doncaster
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 League Two
Doncaster vs Stevenage
0:1
Jan 2, 2017 League Two
Doncaster vs Stevenage
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 48 / 100
Doncaster 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Doncaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Doncaster has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Stevenage went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Doncaster registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Doncaster
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1
Stevenage
07 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2
Stevenage
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0
Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

Doncaster

(Away)
15 Aug
Mansfield
2 : 1
Doncaster
08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2
Doncaster
01 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 1
Lincoln City
29 Jul
Doncaster
0 : 2
Wolves
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Luton 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
5 Cambridge Utd 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 Mansfield 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Bromley 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Sheffield Wed 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Oxford Utd 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Leicester 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Wycombe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Notts County 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15 Burton 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 Reading 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
18 Wigan 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
19 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
21 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
22 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
23 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
24 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)