Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Hutchinson I.
46'
46'
Sub
Adelakun H. In: McCann B.
Out: Adelakun H.
56'
56'
McGrath J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stevenage lately — more wins on the board than Doncaster.
- Model gives Stevenage a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Doncaster
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Stevenage
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Doncaster
0:0
Apr 18, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Doncaster
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 League Two
Doncaster vs Stevenage
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Magennis J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Senior J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bailey O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 68 / 100
Doncaster 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Doncaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Doncaster has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Stevenage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Doncaster
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2 Stevenage
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
17 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0 Stevenage
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
Page 1 of 3
Doncaster
(Away) 03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1 Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1 Doncaster
24 Oct
Doncaster
2 : 0 Sheffield Wed
20 Oct
Doncaster
0 : 2 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1 Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1 Doncaster
17 Oct
Leicester
2 : 1 Doncaster
19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
