Sport Picks

Stevenage vs Leicester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy SPORTA Arena, Stevenage

Stevenage

2 - 1

Leicester

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Marcal W.

Assist: Kemp D.

46'

Sub

Aluko O. In: Thomas L.

Out: Aluko O.

46'

Sub

Marcal W. In: Broggio B.

Out: Marcal W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Stevenage

15%

Draws

31%

Leicester

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Stevenage carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Stevenage a 54% chance of winning this.
Stevenage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Stevenage Clean Sheet 14%

Leicester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stevenage	Leicester
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	10
Draws	7	11
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.17	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy

Stevenage vs Leicester

2:1

Nov 8, 2008 FA Cup

Leicester vs Stevenage

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcal W.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sanderson O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Riis E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 66 / 100

Leicester 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stevenage Leicester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Leicester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Stevenage has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Leicester

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)

06 Oct

Stevenage

2 : 1

Leicester

22 Sept

Walsall

1 : 6

Stevenage

19 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 0

Stevenage

10 Sept

Stevenage

2 : 1

Luton

05 Sept

Barnsley

1 : 5

Stevenage

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Leicester

(Away)

06 Oct

Stevenage

2 : 1

Leicester

22 Sept

Leicester

6 : 1

Fulham U21

19 Sept

Barnsley

1 : 1

Leicester

12 Sept

Stockport County

3 : 4

Leicester

05 Sept

Leicester

0 : 4

Oxford Utd

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