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Stevenage vs Mansfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One SPORTA Arena, Stevenage
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stevenage host Mansfield in the League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Stevenage at 1.34 goals for, 1.28 against; Mansfield at 1.67 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Stevenage have won 0 to Mansfield's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Stevenage to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stevenage
20%
Draws
33%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stevenage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Stevenage taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Mansfield
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Mansfield
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Mansfield
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 League One
Mansfield vs Stevenage
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Mansfield
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 FA Cup
Stevenage vs Mansfield
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 50 / 100
Mansfield 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Mansfield has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Stevenage went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Mansfield
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
10 Nov
Stevenage
3 : 2
Fulham U21
07 Nov
Oxford Utd
0 : 1
Stevenage
31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2
Stevenage
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Mansfield

(Away)
10 Nov
Mansfield
3 : 5
Chesterfield
07 Nov
Mansfield
3 : 0
Macclesfield
03 Nov
Wigan
0 : 0
Mansfield
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2
Notts County
24 Oct
Blackpool
1 : 4
Mansfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)