Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Curtis R.
7'
7'
Thompson L.
19'
19'
Mellon M.
Assist: Magennis J.
AI Match Summary
Stevenage in this League One matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stevenage haven't matched Plymouth's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Stevenage's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 13%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Plymouth
3:0
Mar 17, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs Stevenage
1:0
Jan 1, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Plymouth
1:1
Jan 25, 2020 League Two
Stevenage vs Plymouth
1:2
Dec 29, 2019 League Two
Plymouth vs Stevenage
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Mellon M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Magennis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Plymouth Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 84 / 100
Plymouth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Plymouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Plymouth conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Stevenage went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Plymouth
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
17 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0 Stevenage
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 4
Plymouth
(Away) 20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
17 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 2 Huddersfield
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 Plymouth
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wed | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Leicester | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Luton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:18 | 14 |
| 14 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 18 | Notts County | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11:18 | 9 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 8 |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:25 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:15 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
