Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Brown J.
Assist: Lane P.
24'
24'
Lane P.
29'
29'
Butler D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Reading lately — more wins on the board than Stevenage.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Stevenage taking it.
- Reading arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Reading, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Reading Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup
Stevenage vs Reading
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Reading
1:0
Nov 6, 2025 League One
Reading vs Stevenage
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 League One
Reading vs Stevenage
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Reading
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Reading Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lane P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 59 / 100
Reading 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Reading
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Reading conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Stevenage went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Reading
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2 Stevenage
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
17 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0 Stevenage
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
Page 1 of 3
Reading
(Away) 04 Nov
Oxford Utd
2 : 0 Reading
31 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 0 Reading
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1 Barnsley
21 Oct
Reading
1 : 0 Leyton Orient
17 Oct
Wigan
1 : 0 Reading
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Oxford Utd
2 : 0 Reading
31 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 0 Reading
17 Oct
Wigan
1 : 0 Reading
10 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 5 Reading
26 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 2 Reading
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
