Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Sub
Harper V. In: Okeke J.
Out: Harper V.
46'
46'
Sub
Clarke C. In: Jellis J.
Out: Clarke C.
46'
46'
Sub
Campbell C. In: Malcolm J.
Out: Campbell C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Walsall advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stevenage come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
- Model gives Stevenage a 50% chance of winning this.
- Stevenage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Walsall Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Stevenage vs Walsall
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Walsall
3:1
Aug 13, 2022 League Two
Walsall vs Stevenage
1:1
Jan 8, 2022 League Two
Stevenage vs Walsall
3:1
Aug 28, 2021 League Two
Walsall vs Stevenage
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Piergianni C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Walsall Compare
Top Goalscorer Richards R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 59 / 100
Walsall 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Walsall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Walsall let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Stevenage remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Walsall
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 4
Walsall
(Away) 01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5 Aston Villa
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0 Walsall
02 May
Bromley
3 : 1 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0 Walsall
02 May
Bromley
3 : 1 Walsall
18 Apr
Barrow
1 : 3 Walsall
06 Apr
Swindon
2 : 1 Walsall
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
