Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Sub
Harper V. In: Okeke J.
Out: Harper V.
46'
46'
Sub
Clarke C. In: Jellis J.
Out: Clarke C.
46'
46'
Sub
Campbell C. In: Malcolm J.
Out: Campbell C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Walsall advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stevenage come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
- Model gives Stevenage a 41% chance of winning this.
- Stevenage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Walsall Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy
Walsall vs Stevenage
1:6
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Stevenage vs Walsall
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Walsall
3:1
Aug 13, 2022 League Two
Walsall vs Stevenage
1:1
Jan 8, 2022 League Two
Stevenage vs Walsall
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Piergianni C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Walsall Compare
Top Goalscorer Richards R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 95 / 100
Walsall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Walsall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Stevenage scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Walsall let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Stevenage remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Walsall
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3 Reading
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
Page 1 of 4
Walsall
(Away) 22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0 Rochdale
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
