Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022 Lamex Stadium

Loughborough Lightning W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stevenage W play Loughborough Lightning W in the Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stevenage W averaged 2.57 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Loughborough Lightning W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Stevenage W won 0, Loughborough Lightning W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2021 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Stevenage W and 2.44 for Loughborough Lightning W. This points to a Stevenage W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Stevenage W

18%

Draws

40%

Loughborough Lightning W

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Stevenage W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Stevenage W picked up more points recently compared to Loughborough Lightning W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Stevenage W Clean Sheet 10%

Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stevenage W	Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played	7	31
Wins	3	8
Draws	0	7
Losses	4	16
Goals Scored	2.57	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.29	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2021 Women’s FA Cup

Stevenage W vs Loughborough Lightning W

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage W 40 / 100

Loughborough Lightning W 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stevenage W Loughborough Lightning W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stevenage W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stevenage W attacking → ← attacking Loughborough Lightning W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage W scored in 86% of their last 7 games.

Loughborough Lightning W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Stevenage W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Loughborough Lightning W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 31

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88