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Stilon Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Zimon M.
68' Event
Zakrzewski D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Stilon Gorzow and Polonia Nysa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stilon Gorzow
30%
Draws
23%
Polonia Nysa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stilon Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stilon Gorzow's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what Polonia Nysa have produced (1.3).
  • Model gives Stilon Gorzow a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stilon Gorzow here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stilon Gorzow Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stilon Gorzow Polonia Nysa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa
1:1
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Stilon Gorzow
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stilon Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakrzewski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stilon Gorzow 76 / 100
Polonia Nysa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stilon Gorzow Polonia Nysa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stilon Gorzow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Nysa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Stilon Gorzow scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Stilon Gorzow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stilon Gorzow VS Polonia Nysa
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stilon Gorzow

(Home)
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
19 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
0 : 0
ROW Rybnik
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
28 Aug
Legnica II
2 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
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Polonia Nysa

(Away)
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0
Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
4 Barycz Sulow 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
7 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
8 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
9 ROW Rybnik 10 4 2 4 22:18 14
10 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
11 Stilon Gorzow 10 3 4 3 17:14 13
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 10 3 2 5 18:16 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
17 Sleza Wroclaw 10 2 1 7 15:26 7
18 Carina Gubin 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)