Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Shaw N.
(Penalty)
33'
33'
McNab R.
Assist: McLean R.
34'
34'
Robertson K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Stirling advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stirling
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stirling come out ahead of Morton on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Stirling taking it.
- Stirling have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Morton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Morton here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stirling Clean Sheet 19%
Morton Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stirling | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stirling vs Morton
3:2
Apr 18, 2015 League One
Stirling vs Morton
0:2
Mar 3, 2015 League One
Morton vs Stirling
4:0
Dec 27, 2014 League One
Stirling vs Morton
3:4
Oct 11, 2014 League One
Morton vs Stirling
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stirling Compare
Top Goalscorer McNab R.
1 Goals Assists Leader McLean R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Morton Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stirling 85 / 100
Morton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stirling Morton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stirling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Away concern: Morton has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Stirling scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Stirling VS Morton
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Stirling
(Home) 15 Aug
Forfar Athletic
3 : 0 Stirling
11 Aug
Stirling
4 : 2 Cove Rangers
08 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 2 Stirling
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0 Dumbarton
25 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 0 Stirling
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Stirling
4 : 2 Cove Rangers
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0 Dumbarton
18 Jul
Stirling
0 : 2 Montrose
11 Jul
Stirling
0 : 1 Dundee Utd
02 May
Stirling
2 : 2 Spartans
Page 1 of 3
Morton
(Away) 08 Aug
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0 Morton
01 Aug
Morton
0 : 1 Partick
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1 Inverness
18 Jul
St Johnstone
3 : 0 Morton
14 Jul
East Fife
2 : 0 Morton
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0 Morton
18 Jul
St Johnstone
3 : 0 Morton
14 Jul
East Fife
2 : 0 Morton
25 Apr
Ross County
4 : 0 Morton
11 Apr
Raith
3 : 2 Morton
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
