Sport Picks
Stirling vs Stenhousemuir
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Forthbank Stadium, Stirling 
Match Events
13'
13'
Whyte O.
Assist: Buchanan G.
39'
39'
McLean R.
(Penalty)
66'
66'
Whyte O.
AI Match Summary
Stenhousemuir in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stenhousemuir have won more games recently than Stirling.
- Stenhousemuir are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Stenhousemuir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stirling, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Stirling here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stirling Clean Sheet 10%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stirling | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 Challenge Cup
Stirling vs Stenhousemuir
1:2
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
Stirling vs Stenhousemuir
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Stirling
0:1
Dec 31, 2022 League Two
Stirling vs Stenhousemuir
3:1
Oct 15, 2022 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Stirling
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stirling Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Stenhousemuir Compare
Top Goalscorer Whyte O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stirling 18 / 100
Stenhousemuir 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stirling Stenhousemuir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stirling scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Stirling has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Stenhousemuir conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Stirling VS Stenhousemuir
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stirling
(Home) 22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1 Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1 Clyde
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3 Stirling
08 Sept
Stirling
3 : 2 Rangers B
05 Sept
Stirling
0 : 2 Spartans
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1 Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1 Clyde
08 Sept
Stirling
3 : 2 Rangers B
05 Sept
Stirling
0 : 2 Spartans
22 Aug
Stirling
2 : 2 Stranraer
Page 1 of 3
Stenhousemuir
(Away) 19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3 Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1 Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1 Stenhousemuir
22 Aug
Queen's Park
0 : 2 Stenhousemuir
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1 Stenhousemuir
21 Jul
Partick
2 : 3 Stenhousemuir
18 Jul
Brechin
1 : 2 Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
