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Stjarnan vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Samsung völlurinn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stjarnan play Fram in the Besta deild karla. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stjarnan averaged 2.17 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Fram averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Stjarnan won 2, Fram won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Stjarnan and 2.13 for Fram. This points to a Stjarnan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Stjarnan
26%
Draws
36%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Stjarnan picked up more points recently compared to Fram.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan Fram
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.17 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Fram
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 League Cup
Fram vs Stjarnan
2:3
Oct 20, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
1:1
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Fram
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 36 / 100
Fram 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stjarnan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stjarnan attacking → ← attacking Fram

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Fram let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Stjarnan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fram lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 46
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik1492348:3429
3Fram1383232:2527
4Breidablik1364332:2522
5Valur1461724:2719
6Keflavik1344518:2416
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1343622:2615
9Akranes1343617:2515
10KA Akureyri1331919:2810
11Hafnarfjordur1315718:318
12Thor Akureyri1322914:358