Sport Picks
Stockport County vs Harrogate
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Edgeley Park, Stockport 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Edwards C. In: Mee A.
Out: Edwards C.
46'
46'
Sub
Hunt J. In: Watson R.
Out: Hunt J.
49'
49'
Cursons T.
Assist: Muldoon J.
AI Match Summary
Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Stockport County have won more games recently than Harrogate.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Stockport County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 15%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stockport County | Harrogate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 EFL Trophy
Stockport County vs Harrogate
2:1
Feb 3, 2024 League Two
Stockport County vs Harrogate
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 League Two
Harrogate vs Stockport County
1:3
Feb 11, 2023 League Two
Harrogate vs Stockport County
1:3
Sep 17, 2022 League Two
Stockport County vs Harrogate
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Stokes J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Cursons T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockport County 31 / 100
Harrogate 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockport County Harrogate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stockport County found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Harrogate has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Stockport County went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stockport County VS Harrogate
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stockport County
(Home) 15 Aug
Plymouth
1 : 3 Stockport County
08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Doncaster
01 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 0 Preston
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Doncaster
01 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 0 Preston
17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0 Bristol City
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
28 Apr
Stockport County
1 : 2 Port Vale
Page 1 of 3
Harrogate
(Away) 15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
18 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 1 Harrogate
11 Jul
Guiseley
1 : 2 Harrogate
25 Apr
Walsall
0 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
