Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stockport County vs Stevenage

England England

League One 2025/2026 Edgeley Park, Stockport
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Barry L.
Assist: Osborn B.
28' Event
Wootton K.
Assist: Bailey O.
41'
Goode C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Stockport County advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stockport County
20%
Draws
47%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stevenage haven't matched Stockport County's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Stockport County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 14%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockport County Stevenage
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
2:0
May 9, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Stockport County
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Stockport County
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
1:3
Apr 1, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wootton K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stevenage Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockport County 35 / 100
Stevenage 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockport County Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockport County scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Stockport County has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stevenage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stockport County VS Stevenage
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockport County

(Home)
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0
Stockport County
Page 1 of 7

Stevenage

(Away)
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bradford City 0
Bolton 2
Stockport County 3
Stevenage 0
Final
Bolton 4
Stockport County 1