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Stockport County vs Stevenage

England England

League One 2025/2026 Edgeley Park
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Barry L.
Assist: Osborn B.
28' Event
Wootton K.
Assist: Bailey O.
41'
Goode C.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Stockport County and Stevenage finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stockport County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Stockport County
28%
Draws
22%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stockport County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Stevenage haven't matched Stockport County's recent run of results.
  • Stockport County are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 68%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockport County Stevenage
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
2:0
May 9, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Stockport County
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Stockport County
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
1:3
Apr 1, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wootton K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stevenage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockport County 59 / 100
Stevenage 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockport County Stevenage

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stockport County scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Stevenage has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Stockport County remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stockport County VS Stevenage
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bradford City0
Bolton2
Stockport County3
Stevenage0
Final
Bolton4
Stockport County1