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Stocksbridge vs Ilkeston Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83'
Watson J.
83'
Watson J.
90'
Marshall T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Stocksbridge
15%
Draws
0%
Ilkeston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stocksbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilkeston lately — more wins on the board than Stocksbridge.
  • Win probability leans Stocksbridge's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 14%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stocksbridge Ilkeston
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.81 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Ilkeston
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Stocksbridge
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stocksbridge 41 / 100
Ilkeston 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stocksbridge Ilkeston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilkeston let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Ilkeston has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stocksbridge found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stocksbridge VS Ilkeston
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stocksbridge

(Home)
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2
Runcorn Linnets
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 7

Ilkeston

(Away)
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3
Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)