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Stockton vs Curzon Ashton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stockton host Curzon Ashton in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Stockton at 1.24 goals for, 1.76 against; Curzon Ashton at 1.61 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Stockton have won 0 to Curzon Ashton's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2021, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.81) point toward Curzon Ashton. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stockton
15%
Draws
48%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Stockton haven't matched Curzon Ashton's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stockton Clean Sheet 11%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockton Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2021 FA Cup
Curzon Ashton vs Stockton
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 30 / 100
Curzon Ashton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockton Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Stockton found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Curzon Ashton has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Stockton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stockton VS Curzon Ashton
2 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockton

(Home)
31 Oct
Whitby
0 : 5
Stockton
17 Oct
Stockton
1 : 3
AFC Emley
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0
Stockton
10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2
United of Manchester
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
Page 1 of 6

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
03 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
31 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 1
Leek Town
27 Oct
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Curzon Ashton
24 Oct
Bridlington Town
3 : 2
Curzon Ashton
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 16 10 5 1 35:15 35
2 Cleethorpes 15 10 3 2 32:9 33
3 Guiseley 15 10 2 3 33:15 32
4 Curzon Ashton 16 10 1 5 30:18 31
5 Gainsborough 16 9 2 5 32:21 29
6 Avro 16 9 2 5 39:30 29
7 Workington 16 8 3 5 28:26 27
8 Warrington Rylands 15 8 2 5 27:22 26
9 Warrington Town 16 7 5 4 28:24 26
10 Bury FC 14 7 2 5 30:18 23
11 Alfreton 16 7 2 7 23:18 23
12 Lancaster 17 6 3 8 20:29 21
13 AFC Emley 17 5 5 7 19:28 20
14 Whitby 16 6 1 9 22:42 19
15 Quorn 15 4 6 5 27:32 18
16 Stockton 16 4 3 9 23:28 15
17 Hyde 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
18 Ashton United 16 3 5 8 18:21 14
19 Leek Town 16 3 5 8 31:37 14
20 Ilkeston 16 4 1 11 11:34 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 16 2 5 9 18:37 11
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