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Stockton vs United of Manchester

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Scott J.
59' Event
Scott J.
67' Event
Chimalilo D.

AI Match Summary

United of Manchester in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored United of Manchester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Stockton
11%
Draws
80%
United of Manchester
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: United of Manchester at 1.88 per game, Stockton at 1.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on United of Manchester taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockton United of Manchester
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Stockton
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs United of Manchester
2:3
Mar 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Stockton
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs United of Manchester
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

United of Manchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Buckley J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chimalilo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 10 / 100
United of Manchester 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockton United of Manchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockton's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

United of Manchester has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Stockton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stockton VS United of Manchester
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockton

(Home)
14 Jul
Stockton
1 : 3
Darlington FC
28 Apr
Hednesford
2 : 0
Stockton
25 Apr
Warrington Rylands
1 : 2
Stockton
21 Apr
United of Manchester
1 : 1
Stockton
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1
Lancaster
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United of Manchester

(Away)
24 Jul
Southport
2 : 0
United of Manchester
20 Jul
Trafford
0 : 3
United of Manchester
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4
Salford
14 Jul
United of Manchester
2 : 0
Rochdale
11 Jul
Runcorn Linnets
0 : 4
United of Manchester
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hebburn Town402310775:4179
2Hednesford402211762:3577
3United of Manchester402191065:4172
4Warrington Rylands401813959:4267
5Stockton4018121062:5063
6Lancaster4017111256:4562
7Gainsborough4016111350:4559
8Leek Town401771650:5258
9Cleethorpes4014131356:4755
10Ashton United4014111547:5453
11Ilkeston401571852:5452
12Bamber Bridge401481852:5250
13Guiseley401391846:5648
14Warrington Town4012121643:6348
15Hyde4011141558:6347
16Rushall4012111748:6147
17Whitby4010131743:5543
18Workington4010131743:5843
19Prescot Cables409151640:5042
20Morpeth401262238:5442
21Stocksbridge408122038:6536
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)