Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2024/2025

Widnes FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stockton play Widnes FC in the FA Cup 2024/2025. Stockton are favorites here. Recently, Stockton averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Widnes FC averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Stockton won 1, Widnes FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 31, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Stockton and 1.06 for Widnes FC. This points to a Stockton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Stockton

19%

Draws

20%

Widnes FC

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Stockton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Stockton picked up more points recently compared to Widnes FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Stockton Clean Sheet 22%

Widnes FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stockton	Widnes FC
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	14	5
Draws	7	4
Losses	10	18
Goals Scored	1.35	1.04
Goals Conceded	1.35	2.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 FA Cup

Stockton vs Widnes FC

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 59 / 100

Widnes FC 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stockton Widnes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockton Win (1)

Secondary Pick Stockton & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stockton attacking → ← attacking Widnes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockton scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Widnes FC let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Stockton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Widnes FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 19

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00