Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stoke City U23 vs Middlesbrough U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Stoke City U23 Logo

Stoke City U23

1 - 2
FT
Middlesbrough U23 Logo

Middlesbrough U23

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Sykes C.
81' Event
Griffiths J.
90' Event
Gibson J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Stoke City U23
30%
Draws
29%
Middlesbrough U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stoke City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U23 haven't matched Stoke City U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Stoke City U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stoke City U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U23 Middlesbrough U23
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.58 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
1:2
Mar 14, 2022 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
1:0
Sep 13, 2021 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:0
Jan 25, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
2:0
Sep 21, 2020 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Middlesbrough U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sykes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U23 30 / 100
Middlesbrough U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U23 Middlesbrough U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U23 let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Stoke City U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Stoke City U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U23 VS Middlesbrough U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U23

(Home)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 7

Middlesbrough U23

(Away)
20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Derby U23 4
Sheffield Utd U23 3
West Brom U23 4
QPR U23 2
West Ham U23 5
Leeds U23 1
Fulham U23 2
Newcastle Utd U23 0
Peterborough U23 6
Charlton U23 2
Wigan U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Huddersfield U23 1
Stoke City U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Arsenal U23 1
Quarter-finals
Derby U23 3
West Brom U23 4
West Ham U23 0
Fulham U23 1
Peterborough U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Stoke City U23 1
Middlesbrough U23 2
Semi-finals
West Brom U23 2
Fulham U23 1
Wolves U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Final
West Brom U23 3
Wolves U23 2