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Stoke City U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lyme Valley Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stoke City U23 play Newcastle Utd U23 in the Premier League 2 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stoke City U23 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Newcastle Utd U23 averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. In past meetings, Stoke City U23 won 3, Newcastle Utd U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Stoke City U23 and 1.63 for Newcastle Utd U23. This points to a Stoke City U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Stoke City U23
6%
Draws
4%
Newcastle Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stoke City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Stoke City U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newcastle Utd U23.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Stoke City U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U23 Newcastle Utd U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2022 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
2:1
Sep 20, 2021 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:3
Apr 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
2:1
Dec 11, 2020 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Stoke City U23
3:2
Apr 6, 2020 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Porter A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James-Taylor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U23 84 / 100
Newcastle Utd U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U23 Newcastle Utd U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stoke City U23 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Newcastle Utd U23 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Stoke City U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Newcastle Utd U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U23 VS Newcastle Utd U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City U2326166465:3254
2West Ham U2326153859:3948
3Arsenal U23261011556:4841
4Liverpool U2326117847:3740
5Crystal Palace U23261231154:5039
6Manchester United U2326116946:4339
7Tottenham U2326107949:4537
8Leicester U2326107938:5337
9Blackburn U232698950:5635
10Brighton U2326971041:4134
11Everton U2326851333:5429
12Chelsea U2326771239:4728
13Leeds U2326761344:4927
14Derby U2326431931:5815
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fulham U2326202464:2762
2Wolves U2326145746:3747
3Stoke City U2326127734:3643
4Nottingham U2326126852:3142
5Norwich U23261231164:5239
6Burnley U2326116946:3939
7Southampton U23261231145:4239
8Newcastle Utd U23261221251:5638
9West Brom U23261051144:5435
10Aston Villa U2326951253:5132
11Birmingham U2326751434:5126
12Middlesbrough U2326821631:5026
13Sunderland U2326731635:4924
14Reading U2326581332:5623