Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stoke City U23 vs Nottingham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Konate A.
16'
Griffiths J.
18'
Jarrett P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Stoke City U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stoke City U23
20%
Draws
47%
Nottingham U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stoke City U23 have managed 1.53 goals a game lately — Nottingham U23 are scoring more at 2.03.
  • Model gives Nottingham U23 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Stoke City U23, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U23 Nottingham U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.53 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Nottingham U23
2:0
Apr 4, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:0
Oct 18, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Nottingham U23
1:0
Feb 21, 2020 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U23 vs Stoke City U23
0:0
Dec 2, 2019 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U23 vs Nottingham U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goodwin W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nottingham U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U23 27 / 100
Nottingham U23 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U23 Nottingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stoke City U23 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U23 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stoke City U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U23 VS Nottingham U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U23

(Home)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U23

(Away)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wolves U23 2
Norwich U23 1
Stoke City U23 2
Nottingham U23 0
Final
Wolves U23 2
Stoke City U23 0