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Stoke City vs Preston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Potts B.
29' Event
Wilmot B.
Assist: McGlynn J.
43'
Bombino L.

AI Match Summary

Stoke City in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Stoke City
20%
Draws
7%
Preston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stoke City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stoke City lately — more wins on the board than Preston.
  • Win probability leans Stoke City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 68%
Preston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City Preston
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.36 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Championship
Stoke City vs Preston
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 Championship
Preston vs Stoke City
3:1
Dec 26, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Preston
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Championship
Preston vs Stoke City
1:1
Nov 26, 2024 Championship
Stoke City vs Preston
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilmot B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGlynn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Preston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City 95 / 100
Preston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City Preston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stoke City scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Preston conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Stoke City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City VS Preston
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City

(Home)
31 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 0
Preston
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0
Bristol City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1
Stoke City
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3
Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2
Stoke City
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Preston

(Away)
31 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 0
Preston
24 Oct
Preston
1 : 1
West Brom
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1
Preston
13 Oct
Birmingham
4 : 0
Preston
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1
Millwall
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 13 8 4 1 30:17 28
2 Swansea 13 8 2 3 20:13 26
3 Wolves 13 7 3 3 23:16 24
4 West Brom 13 7 3 3 19:14 24
5 Southampton 13 8 3 2 28:13 23
6 Birmingham 13 6 5 2 23:13 23
7 Stoke City 13 7 2 4 20:16 23
8 West Ham 13 6 4 3 33:18 22
9 QPR 13 5 5 3 21:16 20
10 Sheffield Utd 13 5 4 4 17:15 19
11 Portsmouth 13 5 4 4 16:15 19
12 Millwall 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
13 Blackburn 13 5 3 5 19:20 18
14 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15:17 18
15 Norwich 13 5 0 8 23:24 15
16 Lincoln City 13 4 3 6 14:23 15
17 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 19:20 14
18 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15:19 14
19 Bolton 13 4 2 7 18:26 14
20 Charlton 13 3 5 5 11:21 14
21 Watford 13 3 2 8 12:23 11
22 Burnley 13 1 6 6 17:25 9
23 Derby 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
24 Preston 13 1 2 10 10:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)