Sport Picks
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent 
Match Events
10'
10'
Phillips K.
32'
32'
Devenny J.
43'
43'
Talovierov M.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Stoke City and Sheffield Utd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stoke City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Sheffield Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Stoke City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sheffield Utd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 68%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stoke City | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd
2:1
Dec 29, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City
4:0
Apr 25, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stoke City Compare
Top Goalscorer McGlynn J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gallagher S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sheffield Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Phillips K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stoke City 95 / 100
Sheffield Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stoke City Sheffield Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stoke City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stoke City scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Stoke City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sheffield Utd let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Stoke City VS Sheffield Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stoke City
(Home) 19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
25 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Hull City
15 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Swansea
Page 1 of 4
Sheffield Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Sheffield Utd
13 Sept
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1 Wolves
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Sheffield Utd
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2 Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
