Sport Picks
Stoke City vs Walsall
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent 
Match Events
50'
50'
Seko T.
55'
55'
Lawal B.
57'
57'
Farquharson P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Stoke City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stoke City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Walsall haven't matched Stoke City's recent run of results.
- Model gives Stoke City a 44% chance of winning this.
- Stoke City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stoke City, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Stoke City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 16%
Walsall Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stoke City | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Stoke City vs Walsall
1:0
Jul 14, 2018 Club Friendly
Walsall vs Stoke City
0:3
Aug 28, 2013 EFL Cup
Stoke City vs Walsall
3:1
Jan 28, 2006 FA Cup
Stoke City vs Walsall
2:1
Jan 31, 2004 Championship
Stoke City vs Walsall
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stoke City 84 / 100
Walsall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stoke City Walsall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stoke City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stoke City scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Stoke City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Walsall let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Stoke City VS Walsall
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stoke City
(Home) 19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
25 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Hull City
15 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Swansea
Page 1 of 4
Walsall
(Away) 26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1 Walsall
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0 Rochdale
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1 Walsall
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
