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Stolem Gniewino vs Baltyk Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Pawlowski D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2021/2022 game between Stolem Gniewino and Baltyk Koszalin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stolem Gniewino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Stolem Gniewino
33%
Draws
40%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stolem Gniewino come out ahead of Baltyk Koszalin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stolem Gniewino Clean Sheet 20%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stolem Gniewino Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:0
Sep 4, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Stolem Gniewino
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stolem Gniewino 28 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stolem Gniewino Baltyk Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Stolem Gniewino scored in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Baltyk Koszalin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stolem Gniewino VS Baltyk Koszalin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kotwica Kolobrzeg34246475:2578
2Ol. Grudziadz34245577:2477
3Unia Janikowo341861062:4760
4Pogon Szczecin II341610860:3658
5Nowe Skalmierzyce341771054:4258
6Kleczew341751253:3956
7Swit Szczecin341681056:3756
8Zawisza341481257:5150
9Blekitni Stargard341361548:5445
10Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341271540:6343
11Starogard Gdanski341191444:5142
12Stolem Gniewino3410111343:6641
13B. Gdynia341061844:5736
14Jarocin34991640:4736
15Przodkowo34991640:5136
16Baltyk Koszalin34981740:5835
17Kluczevia Stargard34752228:6526
18Elana Torun34632536:8421