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Stadium Background

Stomil Olsztyn vs LKS Lomza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion OSiR
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Jakubowski L.
Own Goal
28' Event
Sauczek C.
83' Event
Sauczek C.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Stomil Olsztyn and LKS Lomza finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stomil Olsztyn
6%
Draws
90%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: LKS Lomza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • LKS Lomza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives LKS Lomza a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 14%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomil Olsztyn LKS Lomza
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs LKS Lomza
0:4
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
LKS Lomza vs Stomil Olsztyn
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Stomil Olsztyn
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
LKS Lomza vs Stomil Olsztyn
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Stomil Olsztyn vs LKS Lomza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomil Olsztyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauczek C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Protaziuk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomil Olsztyn 10 / 100
LKS Lomza 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomil Olsztyn LKS Lomza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stomil Olsztyn scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

LKS Lomza has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stomil Olsztyn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stomil Olsztyn VS LKS Lomza
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212