Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stomil Olsztyn vs MKS Mlawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion OSiR
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Noworyta K.

AI Match Summary

Stomil Olsztyn play MKS Mlawa in the III Liga - Group I 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stomil Olsztyn averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. MKS Mlawa averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Stomil Olsztyn won 3, MKS Mlawa won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Stomil Olsztyn and 1.30 for MKS Mlawa. This points to a MKS Mlawa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stomil Olsztyn
44%
Draws
20%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Stomil Olsztyn.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 19%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomil Olsztyn MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs MKS Mlawa
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Stomil Olsztyn
3:4
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
MKS Mlawa vs Stomil Olsztyn
0:1
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
MKS Mlawa vs Stomil Olsztyn
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomil Olsztyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Noworyta K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomil Olsztyn 36 / 100
MKS Mlawa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomil Olsztyn MKS Mlawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stomil Olsztyn scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

MKS Mlawa let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Stomil Olsztyn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MKS Mlawa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS MKS Mlawa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212