Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion OSiR

Stomil Olsztyn

2 - 1

Victoria Sulejowek

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Lysiak P.

75'

Jankowski B.

90'

Flis P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Stomil Olsztyn and Victoria Sulejowek finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stomil Olsztyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Stomil Olsztyn

28%

Draws

50%

Victoria Sulejowek

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Victoria Sulejowek come out ahead of Stomil Olsztyn on wins alone.
Win probability leans Victoria Sulejowek's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 18%

Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stomil Olsztyn	Victoria Sulejowek
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	7	6
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Stomil Olsztyn vs Victoria Sulejowek

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Victoria Sulejowek vs Stomil Olsztyn

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomil Olsztyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Lysiak P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Flis P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankowski B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomil Olsztyn 23 / 100

Victoria Sulejowek 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stomil Olsztyn Victoria Sulejowek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stomil Olsztyn scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Victoria Sulejowek conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Stomil Olsztyn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stomil Olsztyn VS Victoria Sulejowek

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	23	5	6	81:30	74
2	Legia II	34	21	7	6	75:39	70
3	LKS Lomza	34	18	10	6	68:38	64
4	Warta Sieradz	34	16	7	11	46:42	55
5	Suwalki	34	13	9	12	46:38	48
6	Jagiellonia II	34	13	8	13	54:49	47
7	Swit Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	47:58	47
8	GKS Belchatow	34	12	10	12	52:52	46
9	Bron Radom	34	12	10	12	40:48	46
10	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	7	14	57:64	46
11	MKS Mlawa	34	12	8	14	67:62	44
12	Plock II	34	11	10	13	54:58	43
13	GKS Wikielec	34	10	12	12	39:45	42
14	Stomil Olsztyn	34	11	9	14	44:56	42
15	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	52:59	41
16	Lidzbark Warmimski	34	9	14	11	46:60	41
17	Pelikan	34	9	6	19	34:58	33
18	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	2	6	26	26:72	12