Sport Picks
Stomil Olsztyn vs Victoria Sulejowek
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion OSiR, Olsztyn 
Match Events
42'
42'
Lysiak P.
75'
75'
Jankowski B.
90'
90'
Flis P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Stomil Olsztyn and Victoria Sulejowek finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stomil Olsztyn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Victoria Sulejowek come out ahead of Stomil Olsztyn on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Victoria Sulejowek's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 18%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stomil Olsztyn | Victoria Sulejowek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs Victoria Sulejowek
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Stomil Olsztyn
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stomil Olsztyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Lysiak P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flis P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Victoria Sulejowek Compare
Top Goalscorer Jankowski B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stomil Olsztyn 10 / 100
Victoria Sulejowek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stomil Olsztyn Victoria Sulejowek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Victoria Sulejowek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stomil Olsztyn scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Victoria Sulejowek conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Stomil Olsztyn stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stomil Olsztyn VS Victoria Sulejowek
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stomil Olsztyn
(Home) 25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
Legia U19
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4 LKS Lomza
31 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
28 May
Suwalki
1 : 2 Stomil Olsztyn
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4 LKS Lomza
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1 Victoria Sulejowek
16 May
Stomil Olsztyn
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
27 Apr
Stomil Olsztyn
1 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Apr
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Page 1 of 3
Victoria Sulejowek
(Away) 07 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3 Victoria Sulejowek
31 May
Victoria Sulejowek
1 : 0 Pelikan
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1 Victoria Sulejowek
21 May
Victoria Sulejowek
4 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
17 May
Legia II
3 : 1 Victoria Sulejowek
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3 Victoria Sulejowek
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1 Victoria Sulejowek
17 May
Legia II
3 : 1 Victoria Sulejowek
04 May
Suwalki
2 : 0 Victoria Sulejowek
18 Apr
GKS Wikielec
2 : 0 Victoria Sulejowek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 81:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Legia II | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 75:39 | 70 |
| 3 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 68:38 | 64 |
| 4 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:42 | 55 |
| 5 | Suwalki | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 46:38 | 48 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:58 | 47 |
| 8 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:52 | 46 |
| 9 | Bron Radom | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 40:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 57:64 | 46 |
| 11 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 67:62 | 44 |
| 12 | Plock II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 54:58 | 43 |
| 13 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | 42 |
| 14 | Stomil Olsztyn | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Victoria Sulejowek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:59 | 41 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 46:60 | 41 |
| 17 | Pelikan | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 34:58 | 33 |
| 18 | Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz | 34 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26:72 | 12 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
