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Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Arthur A.
56' Event
Taranowska K.
67' Event
Witczak A.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Stomilanki Olsztyn W and Pogon Tczew W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stomilanki Olsztyn W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
11%
Draws
9%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Stomilanki Olsztyn W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stomilanki Olsztyn W come out ahead of Pogon Tczew W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stomilanki Olsztyn W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stomilanki Olsztyn W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomilanki Olsztyn W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 4 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:0
May 5, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomilanki Olsztyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taranowska K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Witczak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomilanki Olsztyn W 74 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Pogon Tczew W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Tczew W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stomilanki Olsztyn W scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pogon Tczew W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stomilanki Olsztyn W VS Pogon Tczew W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667