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Stord vs Brodd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ekeland R. B.
25' Event
Ekeland R. B.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Emanuelsen L. K.

AI Match Summary

Brodd in this Division 3 - Group 5 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brodd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stord
30%
Draws
47%
Brodd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brodd lately — more wins on the board than Stord.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Brodd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Brodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Brodd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.86 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Stord vs Brodd
2:4
Apr 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Brodd vs Stord
3:1
Sep 16, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Brodd vs Stord
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Brodd
0:1
Oct 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 3
Brodd vs Stord
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Emanuelsen L. K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aasen V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 26 / 100
Brodd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Brodd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brodd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stord scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Brodd conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Stord remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Brodd
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
03 Aug
Brann 2
1 : 1
Stord
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Brodd

(Away)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
02 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Viking
30 Aug
Brodd
3 : 1
Viking 2
15 Aug
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Brodd
08 Aug
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Brodd
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