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Stord vs Fana Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Havag-Eide M.
15' Event
Oren D.
18' Event
Ekeland R. B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Fana in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stord
20%
Draws
57%
Fana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fana have won more games recently than Stord.
  • Model gives Fana a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Fana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Fana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 11 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.83 2.68
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Fana
3:5
May 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Fana vs Stord
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Stord vs Fana
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Fana vs Stord
2:2
May 25, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs Fana
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Havag-Eide M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 10 / 100
Fana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Fana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Fana conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Stord has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Fana
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
03 Oct
Stord
1 : 2
V. Haugesund
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
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Fana

(Away)
26 Sept
V. Haugesund
3 : 2
Fana
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
31 Aug
Fana
2 : 2
Brann 2
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