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Stord vs Forde

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ekeland R. B.
20' Event
Bortveit J.
33' Event
Savland V.

AI Match Summary

Forde in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stord
44%
Draws
20%
Forde
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Forde have won more games recently than Stord.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Forde
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Forde
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Forde vs Stord
2:5
Jun 15, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs Forde
1:3
Sep 1, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Stord
1:2
May 12, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Forde
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bortveit J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Forde Compare

Top Goalscorer Savland V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sagevik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 34 / 100
Forde 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Forde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Forde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stord stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Forde
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%