Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stord vs Forde

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ekeland R. B.
20' Event
Bortveit J.
33' Event
Savland V.

AI Match Summary

Forde in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stord
35%
Draws
37%
Forde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Forde have won more games recently than Stord.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Stord taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Forde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.9 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Forde vs Stord
1:1
May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Forde
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Forde vs Stord
2:5
Jun 15, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs Forde
1:3
Sep 1, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Stord
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bortveit J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Forde Compare

Top Goalscorer Savland V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sagevik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 38 / 100
Forde 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Forde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Forde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stord stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Forde
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
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Forde

(Away)
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
12 Sept
V. Haugesund
9 : 0
Forde
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
22 Aug
Floro
2 : 4
Forde
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