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Stord vs Valdres

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2019 game between Stord and Valdres finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Stord
20%
Draws
0%
Valdres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stord come out ahead of Valdres on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stord's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Stord Clean Sheet 11%
Valdres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Valdres
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 0
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 2.44 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.44 6.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Division 3 - Group 4
Valdres vs Stord
0:6
May 4, 2019 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Valdres
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 83 / 100
Valdres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Valdres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stord scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Valdres let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Valdres registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
03 Aug
Brann 2
1 : 1
Stord
25 Jul
Stord
0 : 4
Askoy
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
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Valdres

(Away)
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Valdres
0 : 6
Stord
12 Oct
Bergen Nord
8 : 0
Valdres
05 Oct
Valdres
0 : 8
Lysekloster
30 Sept
Valdres
0 : 2
Brann 2
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