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Stord vs Varegg Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Jorgensen M. L.
55' Event
Waraas A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Stord
35%
Draws
40%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stord at 1.93 per game, Varegg at 1.43.
  • Win probability leans Varegg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Stord here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Varegg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.66 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Varegg
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
5:2
May 16, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2
Sep 30, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
3:1
Jun 16, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen M. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Waraas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 26 / 100
Varegg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Varegg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Stord has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Varegg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
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Varegg

(Away)
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
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