Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Storfors AIK vs Skelleftea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mattsson V.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Toro H.
50' Event
Astrom A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Storfors AIK and Skelleftea finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Storfors AIK
30%
Draws
29%
Skelleftea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Storfors AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skelleftea come out ahead of Storfors AIK on wins alone.
  • Model gives Storfors AIK a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skelleftea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 16%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Storfors AIK Skelleftea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Skelleftea
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Storfors AIK
2:2
Aug 17, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Storfors AIK
4:0
Apr 22, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Skelleftea
2:4
Aug 1, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Skelleftea
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Storfors AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Astrom A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Toro H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fahlman P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Storfors AIK 75 / 100
Skelleftea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Storfors AIK Skelleftea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Storfors AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Storfors AIK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Skelleftea conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Storfors AIK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Storfors AIK VS Skelleftea
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Storfors AIK

(Home)
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 1
Storfors AIK
29 Aug
Storfors AIK
3 : 0
Fransta IK
22 Aug
Friska Viljor
2 : 0
Storfors AIK
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Skelleftea

(Away)
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)