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Stortford vs Alvechurch

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Greene A.
66' Event
Russell B.

AI Match Summary

Stortford in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stortford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Stortford
11%
Draws
80%
Alvechurch
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alvechurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Alvechurch have won more games recently than Stortford.
  • Alvechurch are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Stortford Clean Sheet 16%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stortford Alvechurch
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Alvechurch
2:0
Dec 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Stortford
1:1
Feb 4, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Stortford
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Alvechurch
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stortford Compare

Top Goalscorer Greene A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russell B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Alvechurch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stortford 11 / 100
Alvechurch 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stortford Alvechurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Stortford's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Stortford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stortford VS Alvechurch
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525