Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stortford vs Chipstead

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Foxley D.
45' Event
Giles J.
90' Event
Lavery K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Stortford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Stortford
35%
Draws
46%
Chipstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chipstead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chipstead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chipstead's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Chipstead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stortford, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stortford Clean Sheet 18%
Chipstead Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stortford Chipstead
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 FA Trophy
Stortford vs Chipstead
2:1
Oct 12, 2013 FA Cup
Chipstead vs Stortford
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stortford Compare

Top Goalscorer Foxley D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Chipstead Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavery K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stortford 28 / 100
Chipstead 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stortford Chipstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chipstead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chipstead conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Stortford found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Stortford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stortford VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stortford

(Home)
22 Aug
Stortford
0 : 3
Alvechurch
15 Aug
Halesowen
1 : 0
Stortford
11 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1
Stortford
08 Aug
Stortford
0 : 0
Banbury
31 Jul
Stortford
1 : 1
Enfield Town
Page 1 of 6

Chipstead

(Away)
30 Jul
Chipstead
2 : 2
Three Bridges
27 Jul
Chipstead
1 : 2
Sevenoaks
23 Jul
Phoenix Sports
1 : 1
Chipstead
09 Sept
Chipstead
2 : 4
Lancing
29 Jul
Chipstead
3 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Marine 3
Dunston 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Enfield Town 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Hartley Wintney 3
Willand Rovers 0
Folkestone 2
Faversham 1
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 2
Uxbridge 6
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Needham Market 3
Margate 2
Welwyn Garden 2
Carshalton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Cray Wanderers 2
Bedfont Sports 1
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Bath City -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wimborne 2
Marlow 2
Larkhall 3
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
AFC Totton 3
Frome Town 2
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Braintree -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Potters 1
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Cheshunt 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Stortford 2
Chipstead 1
Leiston 3
Harrow Borough 0
Canvey Island 6
Yaxley 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby 5
Mossley AFC 0
Nantwich 2
Grantham Town 1
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Kingstonian 2
Farnborough 1
Banbury 0
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Carlton Town 1
Stourbridge 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Peterborough Sports 1
TBD -
Telford -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Guiseley -
Farsley -
TBD -
Bootle 3
Stalybridge 4
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Binfield 3
Cinderford Town 0
Truro 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Radcliffe 2
Nuneaton 0
Colne 1
Tamworth 2
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
Chorley -
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 0
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Brentwood 4
Staines 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Rushall 0
Matlock 4
Marske United 3
United of Manchester 2
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 1
Tiverton 3
Warrington Town 2
Chasetown 0
Bromsgrove 0
Morpeth 1
Liversedge 3
Basford Utd. 2
Gainsborough 1
Lancaster 2
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
1/64-finals
Curzon Ashton 2
Chester 1
Leamington 0
Alfreton 3
Bradford PA 4
Marine 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 0
Enfield Town 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
Gloucester City 3
Kettering 0
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 2
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Maidstone 2
Billericay 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Needham Market 3
Welwyn Garden 1
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Cray Wanderers 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Dartford 1
Hungerford 3
Welling 2
TBD -
Weymouth -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 2
Concord Rangers 0
AFC Totton 5
Oxford City 1
St. Albans 4
Braintree 3
Potters 1
Chelmsford 1
Cheshunt 2
Stortford 5
Leiston 1
Canvey Island 0
Tonbridge 1
TBD -
Torquay -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Whitby 0
Nantwich 1
Aldershot -
TBD -
Kingstonian 4
Farnborough 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Stourbridge 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Telford 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Ashton United 1
Guiseley 2
Farsley 1
Stalybridge 0
Southport 2
Darlington FC 1
AFC Fylde 1
Gateshead 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Binfield 2
Truro 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
Worthing FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
Radcliffe 5
Tamworth 1
Spennymoor 1
Chorley 0
Plymouth Parkway 1
Hampton & Richmond 0
Brentwood 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Matlock 3
Marske United 2
York City 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Slough Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
Tiverton 1
Warrington Town 1
Morpeth 2
Liversedge 1
Lancaster 3
Brackley 1
Boston United 2
Hereford 1
Kidderminster 2
1/32-finals
Curzon Ashton 1
Alfreton 3
Bradford PA 3
Halifax 4
Notts County 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 5
Enfield Town 0
Wrexham 5
Gloucester City 0
Folkestone 2
Uxbridge 0
Barnet 2
Boreham Wood 3
Maidenhead -
Maidstone -
Yeovil 3
Woking 1
Needham Market 2
Wealdstone 1
Cray Wanderers 1
Dartford 3
Hungerford 0
Weymouth 1
Stockport County 4
Grimsby 0
Larkhall 2
AFC Totton 1
St. Albans 1
Braintree 0
Cheshunt 1
Stortford 0
Tonbridge 2
Torquay 1
King’s Lynn 2
Nantwich 1
Aldershot 2
Kingstonian 1
Dover Ath. 0
Bromley 1
Stourbridge 3
Telford 2
Chesterfield -
Guiseley -
Farsley 0
Southport 3
AFC Fylde 0
Solihull Moors 1
Truro 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Southend 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Radcliffe 0
Spennymoor 1
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Matlock 0
York City 1
Slough Town 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Morpeth 4
Lancaster 3
Boston United 4
Kidderminster 1
1/16-finals
Alfreton 1
Halifax 2
Notts County 2
Eastleigh 1
Wrexham 5
Folkestone 1
Boreham Wood 2
Maidstone 1
Yeovil 1
Needham Market 2
Dartford 1
Weymouth 0
Stockport County 3
Larkhall 0
St. Albans 0
Cheshunt 3
Tonbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Aldershot 0
Bromley 2
Stourbridge 1
Guiseley 0
Southport 0
Solihull Moors 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Southend 0
Spennymoor 3
Plymouth Parkway 1
York City 1
Slough Town 0
Morpeth 4
Boston United 3
1/8-finals
Halifax 1
Notts County 2
Wrexham 3
Boreham Wood 0
Needham Market 1
Dartford 0
Stockport County 1
Cheshunt 0
Tonbridge 1
Bromley 2
Stourbridge 0
Solihull Moors 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Spennymoor 0
York City 3
Morpeth 2
Quarter-finals
Notts County 1
Wrexham 2
Needham Market 0
Stockport County 3
Bromley 3
Solihull Moors 1
Dagenham & Red. 1
York City 2
Semi-finals
Wrexham 2
Stockport County 0
Bromley 3
York City 1
Final
Wrexham 0
Bromley 1