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Stortford vs Leamington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Thompson J.
45' Event
Wreh C.
67' Event
Norris F.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Stortford and Leamington finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stortford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Stortford
20%
Draws
36%
Leamington
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stortford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Leamington carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leamington are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Stortford Clean Sheet 17%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stortford Leamington
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Leamington
3:1
Nov 19, 2022 FA Trophy
Leamington vs Stortford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stortford Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norris F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Leamington Compare

Top Goalscorer Wreh C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stortford 28 / 100
Leamington 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stortford Leamington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leamington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leamington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Stortford found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Stortford has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stortford VS Leamington
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stortford

(Home)
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3
Stortford
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1
Leamington
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

Leamington

(Away)
03 Oct
Leamington
4 : 0
Hitchin
29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1
Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2
Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0
Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)