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Stortford vs Stamford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Jarzabek M.

AI Match Summary

Stamford in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stamford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stortford
15%
Draws
49%
Stamford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stamford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stamford lately — more wins on the board than Stortford.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Stortford taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Stortford Clean Sheet 16%
Stamford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stortford Stamford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.1 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Stamford
0:1
Sep 19, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stortford
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stortford
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Stamford
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stortford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stortford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Stamford Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarzabek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stortford 75 / 100
Stamford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stortford Stamford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stortford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stortford scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Stamford let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Stamford's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Stortford VS Stamford
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stortford

(Home)
31 Oct
Anstey Nomads
4 : 1
Stortford
27 Oct
Stortford
0 : 1
Stamford
24 Oct
Stortford
3 : 1
Real Bedford
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1
Stortford
17 Oct
Stortford
2 : 4
Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 6

Stamford

(Away)
31 Oct
Stamford
0 : 4
Halesowen
27 Oct
Stortford
0 : 1
Stamford
20 Oct
Hitchin
3 : 0
Stamford
17 Oct
Stamford
0 : 4
Real Bedford
13 Oct
Stamford
0 : 0
Stratford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 16 11 2 3 40:22 35
2 Bury Town 16 10 2 4 28:25 32
3 Bromsgrove 14 9 4 1 28:14 31
4 Kettering 15 8 4 3 29:17 28
5 Rushall 16 9 0 7 32:25 27
6 Alvechurch 14 7 5 2 27:13 26
7 Peterborough Sports 15 7 5 3 31:25 26
8 Needham Market 15 7 4 4 32:23 25
9 Anstey Nomads 14 6 5 3 27:21 23
10 Halesowen 13 7 2 4 20:18 23
11 Stourbridge 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
12 Racing Club Warwick 15 5 5 5 22:19 20
13 Redditch 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
14 Stratford 15 3 7 5 21:27 16
15 Leiston 13 4 3 6 23:26 15
16 Banbury 15 3 5 7 18:28 14
17 Worcester 13 3 4 6 15:17 13
18 Hitchin 15 3 4 8 17:23 13
19 Stortford 15 4 1 10 18:28 13
20 Leamington 15 2 4 9 21:30 10
21 Leighton Town 14 1 3 10 15:32 6
22 Stamford 15 1 1 13 4:39 4
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)